NFL Picks: Week 5 Saints vs Patriots

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As the NFL season progresses, the New Orleans Saints and the New England Patriots face off in a compelling Week 5 clash at the iconic Gillette Stadium. Both teams, with their fair share of highs and lows, are eager to make a statement. Let’s delve into the specifics.

BUSR NFL Lines

Spread: Saints +1.5 (-110), Patriots -1.5 (-110) 

Moneyline: Saints +101, Patriots -123 

Total: Saints O 40.5 (-110), U 40.5 (-110) 

New Orleans Saints

Reeling from consecutive losses, the Saints suffered a 26-9 setback to Tampa Bay. Their offense has been spearheaded by Derek Carr, amassing 763 yards with 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, completing 64.5% of his throws. Jameis Winston has been less productive, with 101 yards and an interception, boasting a completion rate of 58.8%. Taysom Hill is the Saints’ top rusher with 101 yards. Chris Olave stands out with 23 receptions and 306 yards, while Michael Thomas and Rashid Shaheed have contributed 219 and 185 receiving yards, respectively. Defensively, Pete Werner tops the chart with 34 tackles and Carl Granderson is their sack leader with 2.5. They have accumulated 9 sacks and 5 interceptions this season. Notably, Tyrann Mathieu is one shy of 30 career picks. Historically, the Saints have thrived as underdogs on the East Coast, winning 7 of their last 8 and covering the spread in all. However, they rank last in the NFL for red zone percentage (33.3%) and Q4 opponent points (11.8).

New England Patriots 

The Patriots are licking their wounds after a crushing 38-3 loss to the Cowboys, marking the worst defeat under the Belichick era. Quarterback Mac Jones has registered 898 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions, with a completion rate of 63.7%. Rhamondre Stevenson and Ezekiel Elliott lead the rushing with 164 and 138 yards, respectively. Hunter Henry, with 17 receptions and 176 yards, is the top receiver, closely followed by Kendrick Bourne. The defense is led by Kyle Dugger with 30 tackles. Although Matthew Judon is the sack leader with 4, he’s sidelined for an undetermined period. The Patriots have notched 10 sacks this season. Historically, the Patriots shine in Week 5, winning their last eight. They also have an impressive record of favorites covering the spread in 13 of their last 14 matches. However, they’re ranked T31st for Q3 points (0.8) and 30th for average points (13.8) this season.

Prediction

Considering both teams have been defensively robust and offensively lagging, the under seems appealing. Scoring has been a challenge for both squads, so anticipate a low-scoring affair this weekend. Take the under 40.5 on this one on BUSR NFL Odds as we have some of the most underperforming offenses on the gridiron this week.