Nevada Polls for Trump and Biden

Powered by Qualtrics - Sept 1, 2020

US Election Odds

NEW NEVADA POLL FINDS BIDEN LEADING TRUMP IN THE SILVER STATE

Who will lead the U.S. Presidential election in Nevada?

BUSR Las Vegas Presidential Poll (Sept 1st 2020)

Las Vegas-The first nonpartisan poll of Nevada likely voters this calendar year finds former Vice President Joe Biden favored by 44 percent and President Donald Trump by 39 percent. Five percent of Nevada likely voters say they will vote for another candidate while 12 percent of Nevada likely voters are undecided as to their presidential preference.

41 percent of Nevada likely voters approve of the way Trump is handling his job while 51 percent disapprove. Eight percent of likely voters are not sure about how they felt about Trump’s job performance.

Support for the two presidential contenders is unsurprisingly divided pursuant to political affiliation. 85 percent of Democrats support Biden while 84 percent of Republicans support Trump. Among likely voters who identified their political affiliation as independent or other, 33% choose Biden while 31% support Trump.

 

 

A significant gender gap exists among likely Nevada voters. 38 percent of men support Biden while 46 percent of men support Trump. 49 percent of women support Biden while 32 percent of women support Trump.

 

 

This poll also found wide differences in support for the candidates based on age and race. 41 percent of white likely voters support Biden while 46 percent support Trump. 42 percent of likely Hispanic voters support Biden while 29 percent support Trump. 69 percent of African-American likely voters support while eight percent support Trump.

 

 

The presidential preferences among Nevada likely voters by education were peculiar. This poll found Trump leading Biden by a wide margin among respondents who indicated that “post-graduate” was the highest level of education that they completed. This result contradicts data from nearly every other state and national poll of the presidential contest, which suggests that some respondents were less than forthcoming in this survey about their level of collegiate education.

 

 

Clark County likely voters gave 47 percent support to Biden and 36 percent support to Trump. Washoe County likely voters gave 40 percent support to Biden and 40 percent support to Trump. Likely voters who did not reside in either Clark or Washoe counties gave 32 percent support to Biden and 51 percent to Trump.

 

 

88 percent of likely voters who approve of the way Trump is handling his job back him for re-election. 81 percent of likely voters who disapprove of Trump’s job performance back Biden.

 

 

84 percent of Nevada likely voters who voted for Trump in the 2016 election support his re-election while seven percent now back Biden. Three percent of Nevada likely voters who voted for Hillary Clinton in the 2016 election support Trump while 89 percent back Biden. Seven percent of Nevada likely voters who voted for someone other than Trump or Hillary Clinton in 2016 support Trump while 34 percent back Biden. 24 percent of Nevada likely voters who did not vote at all in 2016 support Trump while 43 percent back Biden.

 

 

The poll also found that 77 percent of Nevada likely voters support a requirement that masks or face coverings be worn in public places. 39 percent of Nevada likely voters support the reopening of schools for in-person instruction. 54 percent of Nevada likely voters who support a mask requirement support Biden while 29 percent support President Trump. 67 percent of Nevada likely voters who support the reopening of schools for in-person instruction support President Trump while 17 percent back Biden.

 

 

38 percent of Nevada likely voters believe that the federal government should provide financial relief to casinos. 21 percent of Nevada likely voters have flown on an airplane in the last six months.

29 percent of Nevada likely voters have placed a bet on a sporting event in the last year. 46 percent of such sports bettors back President Trump while 40 percent back Biden. 36 percent of Nevada likely voters who have not placed a wager on a sporting event back President Trump while 46 percent back Biden.

 

 

BUSR sponsored this poll of 682 self-identified Nevada likely voters. Qualtrics collected the data for this survey from August 20, 2020 to August 30, 2020. The margin of error for the poll is +/- 4 percentage points.

A second poll will be released in the first week of October and the final poll will be released in November right before the election.

This poll is related to an independent study that is being conducted at the MBA program for the Lee Business School at the University of Nevada-Las Vegas. UNLV’s MBA program is recognized for its inventive curriculum as well as voted the most diverse campus in the nation by the U.S. News World Report.

BUSR is an award-winning, international gaming company with offices in the United Kingdom and the Americas.

BUSR provides non-parimutuel wagering on horse racing for over 300 thoroughbred and harness racetracks around the world including Hong Kong, Japan, Australia and the United Kingdom.

Additionally, members of BUSR are able to wager on entertainment and politics as well as sports from around the world. A live dealer casino is available as well as over 350 table games and slot machines. BUSR has odds available for the presidential contest in all fifty states.

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Methodology Statement

Crosstabs

Any additional questions about the poll, including requests for the raw data, should be sent to Alexander Chan (MBA Candidate ’22, UNLV Lee Business School) at chana22@unlv.nevada.edu.