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WARNOCK AND OSSOFF LOOK POISED TO WIN GEORGIA SENATE RUNOFFS

Senators David Perdue and Kelly Loefferler hold slight leads in the Georgia State Runoffs, but BUSR indicates the race will be very close until Atlanta and DeKalb County votes tip race to Warnock and Ossoff

UPDATE: January 6, 2021 – BUSR has called the race for Georgia Senate. Warnock beats Loeffler and Ossoff defeats Perdue.

Las Vegas – (January 4, 2021) -The BUSR/UNLV Lee Business School poll of Georgia likely voters finds Senators David Perdue and Kelly Loeffler with nominal leads over Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock, respectively, ahead of the Senate runoff elections on January 5, 2021. Perdue and Loeffler both lead Ossoff and Warnock, respectively, by a 49%-48% margin among Georgia likely voters.

44% of Georgia likely voters approve of Loeffler’s performance as Senator while 40% disapprove of her performance. 47% of Georgia likely voters approve of Perdue’s performance as Senator while 39% disapprove of his performance.

44% of Georgia likely voters believe that widespread voter fraud occurred in the 2020 general election for the presidency. 46% of Georgia likely voters do not believe that widespread voter fraud occurred in the 2020 general election for the presidency.

48% of Georgia likely voters indicate that they will take the COVID-19 vaccine while 30% indicate that they will not take it. 23% of Georgia likely voters are undecided over whether they will take the vaccine.

This poll also tested potential matchups in the 2022 Republican gubernatorial primary, 2022 gubernatorial general election, and 2024 Republican presidential primary. These results will be released on January 7, 2021.

This poll of 550 Georgia likely voters was conducted on December 30, 2020 and on January 3, 2021. Qualtrics collected the data for this survey. The margin of error for the poll is +/- 4 percentage points. BUSR paid for the costs of this poll.

The following data incorporates the preferences of likely voters who indicated a lean towards a candidate. This survey was weighted by age, gender, education, and 2020 vote choice for President Donald Trump.

 

Senate Runoffs

While our poll shows both Senate races with effectively the same margin, there are slight differences. Georgia likely voters affiliated with Republicans are more unified in their support for Senator Loeffler than for Senator Perdue while Perdue performs better than Loeffler among Georgia likely voters unaffiliated with either party.

  Take Vaccine Not Take Vaccine Undecided
Perdue 40 62 50
Ossoff 58 38 40
  Take Vaccine Not Take Vaccine Undecided
Loeffler 40 61 51
Warnock 57 36 45

The races otherwise breakdown among the traditional demographic fault lines. Ossoff and Warnock hold large leads among Georgia likely voters between the ages of 18-39 and minority voters regardless of whether they graduated from college or consider themselves evangelicals. Perdue and Loeffler hold large leads among Georgia likely voters ages 50 and older and among white voters regardless of whether they graduated from college or consider themselves evangelicals. Ossoff and Warnock lead among female Georgia likely voters while Perdue and Loeffler lead among male Georgia likely voters.

 

Voter Fraud and the COVID-19 Vaccine

Georgia likely voters are divided over whether widespread voter occurred in the 2020 general election for the presidency. 74% of Georgia likely voters affiliated with Republicans question the legitimacy of the 2020 presidential election in the Peach State.

Georgia likely voters are also divided over whether they will take the COVID-19 vaccine. Ossoff and Warnock lead by wide margins among Georgia likely voters who will take the vaccine while Perdue and Loeffler lead by wide margins among Georgia likely votes who will not take the vaccine and by a smaller margin among Georgia likely voters undecided about whether they will take the vaccine.

  Republican Democrat Independent or Other
Perdue 88 1 52
Ossoff 10 98 38
  Republican Democrat Independent or Other
Loeffler 91 3 42
Warnock 6 96 49

BUSR paid for the costs of this poll. BUSR is a proud sponsor of student-conducted research at the UNLV Lee Business School.

This poll was developed by Alexander Chan, a graduate student in the UNLV Lee Business School MBA program. Any additional questions about the poll should be sent to him at chana22@unlv.nevada.edu. The raw data for the poll is available upon request.

Crosstabs

Methodology Statement

The UNLV Institutional Review Board has approved this poll. UNLV’s MBA program is recognized for its inventive curriculum as well as voted the most diverse campus in the nation by the U.S. News World Report.

BUSR is an award-winning, international gaming company with offices in the United Kingdom and the Americas.

BUSR provides non-parimutuel wagering on horse racing for over 300 thoroughbred and harness racetracks around the world including Hong Kong, Japan, Australia and the United Kingdom.

Additionally, members of BUSR are able to wager on entertainment and politics as well as sports from around the world. A live dealer casino is available as well as over 350 table games and slot machines. BUSR has lines available for the presidential contest in all fifty states.

In 2020, BUSR achieved a 96% Gold Medal performance by Zendesk and was a proud sponsor of Roc Nation Sport’s Tramaine Williams in his middleweight fight against Angelo Leo on Showtime Championship Boxing. BUSR also provides odds and color commentary to various publications including ESPN, Sports Illustrated, USA Today, Yahoo Sports and the New York Times.

- Updated November 18, 2021 16:00:45

2024 US Presidential Election
Fractional American
Joe Biden7/2+350
Kamala Harris4/1+400
Donald Trump7/1+700
Ron Desantis9/1+900
Nikki Haley12/1+1200
Mike Pence16/1+1600
Alexandria Ocasio-cortez16/1+1600
Tucker Carlson25/1+2500
Ivanka Trump25/1+2500
Ted Cruz30/1+3000
Dwayne Johnson30/1+3000
Michelle Obama30/1+3000
Mike Pompeo40/1+4000
Pete Buttigieg40/1+4000
Cory Booker40/1+4000
Kristi Noem50/1+5000
Elizabeth Warren50/1+5000
Candace Owens50/1+5000
Josh Hawley50/1+5000
Tom Cotton50/1+5000
Marco Rubio50/1+5000
Dan Crenshaw50/1+5000
Stacey Abrams50/1+5000
Rand Paul50/1+5000
Amy Klobuchar50/1+5000
Donald Trump Jr50/1+5000
Tulsi Gabbard60/1+6000
Andrew Yang60/1+6000
Paul Ryan100/1+10000
Bernie Sanders100/1+10000
Hillary Clinton100/1+10000
Gavin Newsom100/1+10000
Kanye West100/1+10000
Mitt Romney100/1+10000

Will Donald Trump Be Elected US President In 2024
Fractional American
Yes 7/1+700
No1/13-1300
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