Sunday Night Football Odds Week 13

Sunday Night Football Odds Week 13

 

Thanksgiving Sunday Night Football Odds will shape the playoffs landscape, and many games will shape the race for the playoffs. Letā€™s analyze each one and give the best option among NFL Futures for bettors.Ā 

 

Tennessee Titans vs. Washington Commanders

 

The Tennessee Titans (3-8) head to the nation’s capital to face the Washington Commanders (7-5) in an intriguing Week 13 matchup. The Commanders want to bounce back from a frustrating loss, while the Titans aim to build on a surprising win. Washington enters as 5.5-point favorites with a total set at 44.5, highlighting expectations of a moderately paced contest.

The Titans are fresh off a surprising win but have struggled for consistency this season, especially on offense. Quarterback Will Levis has shown flashes of potential but remains plagued by a poor offensive line that allowed him to be sacked nine times last week. Against Washington’s aggressive blitzing defense, Levis will face significant pressure, which historically leads to turnovers.Ā 

Tennessee’s saving grace could be its ground game. Tony Pollard has been effective recently, and the Titans face a Washington run defense that ranks in the lower half of the league. Still, with a balanced offensive attack, the Titans will likely succeed.

Washington’s offense revolves around quarterback Jayden Daniels, who has battled a rib injury but now faces a Titans defense that generates little pressure and is missing key secondary pieces. Daniels should have time to throw, targeting a Tennessee defense vulnerable to big plays.

However, the Commanders’ rushing attack is hindered by injuries to their top running backs, meaning much of the load will fall on Daniels and the passing game. Defensively, Washington has an edge with its pass rush and aggressive blitz packages, which should exploit Tennesseeā€™s weak offensive line and force Levis into mistakes.

The Commanders are better positioned to control this game. Their defensive pressure will disrupt Levis, while Daniels will capitalize on a vulnerable Titans secondary. With home-field advantage and a bounce-back mentality, Washington should cover the spread.Ā 

 

Prediction: Commanders -6 (-110)Ā 

 

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Atlanta Falcons

 

The Los Angeles Chargers (7-4) visit the Atlanta Falcons (6-5) in a battle between two teams with playoff aspirations. The Chargers look to rebound from a disappointing Monday night loss, while the Falcons aim to build momentum in the NFC playoff race. The Chargers are 1.5-point favorites in what could be a high-scoring game with a total of 48.5.

The Chargers offense, led by Justin Herbert, is one of the most dynamic in the league, but it stumbled in its last outing due to penalties and dropped passes. Herbert has a prime opportunity to bounce back against an Atlanta defense that is missing key pieces in the secondary. The Falcons have struggled mightily against the pass, allowing backups like Bo Nix to thrive.Ā 

While Los Angeles may find it challenging to establish the run, Herbertā€™s connection with his top receivers should be enough to keep the chains moving. The Chargers’ defense, although inconsistent, boasts a pass rush that can disrupt opposing quarterbacks.

Atlanta relies heavily on its ground game, spearheaded by Bijan Robinson, who has excelled recently. Robinson faces a Chargers defense that has struggled against the run, especially when linebacker Denzel Perryman is unavailable.Ā 

Quarterback Kirk Cousins must manage the game effectively against a formidable Los Angeles pass rush. Atlantaā€™s passing game has been inconsistent, and injuries to key receivers could further hinder its ability to keep pace with the Chargersā€™ high-powered offense.

The Chargers’ ability to exploit Atlanta’s weak secondary gives them a decisive edge. While Robinson may succeed on the ground, the Falcons need more firepower to keep up with Herbert and the Chargers.Ā 

 

Prediction: Chargers Moneyline -1 (-110)Ā 

 

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals

 

The Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3) and Cincinnati Bengals (4-7) renew their AFC North rivalry in a game with significant implications for both teams. The Bengals are slight 2.5-point favorites at home, but the Steelers aim to bounce back after a tough loss in Week 12.

Pittsburghā€™s offense is built around its physicality, with running backs Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren leading the way. The Steelers should succeed on the ground against a Cincinnati defense struggling against the run. Quarterback Russell Wilson, who joined the team midseason, has been efficient when given time, and the Bengalsā€™ secondary offers opportunities for big plays downfield. Defensively, the Steelers remain one of the league’s most formidable units, with T.J. Watt leading a pass rush that can disrupt opposing quarterbacks.

Cincinnatiā€™s offense hinges on quarterback Joe Burrow, who finally has his full complement of weapons, and Tee Higgins and Jaā€™Marr Chase are both healthy. The Steelers have allowed big plays to top receivers in recent weeks, making this a favorable matchup for the Bengals’ passing game. However, Cincinnatiā€™s running game has been underwhelming, and its offensive line will face a stiff test from Pittsburghā€™s pass rush. Defensively, the Bengals must tighten up against the run to avoid being overwhelmed by Pittsburghā€™s physicality.

This game will come down to which team can control the line of scrimmage. While the Bengals have the edge in passing, the Steelers’ ability to run the ball and pressure Burrow gives them the upper hand.

 

Prediction: Steelers moneyline (+131)

 

Indianapolis Colts vs. New England Patriots

 

The Indianapolis Colts (5-7) travel to face the New England Patriots (3-9) in a matchup of struggling teams. The Colts are slight 3-point favorites as both squads look for consistency in a challenging season.

The Colts’ offense, led by rookie quarterback Anthony Richardson, has shown flashes of brilliance but still needs consistency. Richardsonā€™s dual-threat ability keeps defenses on edge, and he will look to rebound from a subpar performance against Detroit. Indianapolisā€™ run game is a key component of its offense, with Jonathan Taylor poised for a big day against New Englandā€™s porous run defense. Michael Pittman Jr.ā€™s return to full health is a significant boost, especially if receiver Josh Downs misses this game. The Colts defense has been vulnerable against the run but will benefit from facing a Patriots offense that lacks firepower.

New Englandā€™s offense has been underwhelming, with rookie quarterback Drake Maye struggling behind a shaky offensive line. Maye has shown potential but remains inconsistent, particularly against aggressive defenses. Running back Rhamondre Stevenson is the focal point of the Patriots’ attack and has a favorable matchup against Indianapolisā€™ weak run defense. Tight-end Hunter Henry could be pivotal as the Colts have struggled to defend the position. New Englandā€™s secondary has improved defensively, but their inability to stop the run could make this a long day.

Ā The Colts’ balanced attack and ability to exploit New England’s defensive weaknesses give them the edge. Expect Taylor to dominate on the ground and Richardson to make enough plays through the air to secure the win.Ā 

 

Prediction: Colts -2.5 (-115)Ā 

 

Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

 

The Houston Texans (7-5) host the Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9) in an AFC South showdown. The Texans are 5-point favorites, with Jacksonvilleā€™s hopes riding on quarterback Trevor Lawrenceā€™s availability.

Ā Houstonā€™s offense is led by C.J. Stroud, who continues to impress in his rookie campaign. Stroud will exploit Jacksonvilleā€™s weak secondary with deep strikes to Nico Collins. The Texansā€™ run game, spearheaded by Joe Mixon, has been inconsistent but could succeed against a Jaguars defense struggling to stop the run. Defensively, Houston thrives on generating pressure, which will be a key factor if Lawrence plays at less than 100%.

Jacksonvilleā€™s offense hinges on Lawrenceā€™s health. If he plays, his ability to target playmakers like Calvin Ridley and Christian Kirk could keep the Jaguars competitive. However, Jacksonvilleā€™s offensive line must hold up against Houstonā€™s fierce pass rush. The Jaguarsā€™ defense, particularly their run-stopping unit, has been a liability and will need to step up to contain Mixon and Stroudā€™s passing attack.

Houstonā€™s balanced offense and relentless pass rush give them the advantage, mainly if Lawrence isnā€™t at full strength. Expect Stroud to shine as the Texans pull away in the second half.Ā 

 

Prediction: Texans -4 (-110)Ā 

 

Arizona Cardinals vs. Minnesota Vikings

 

The Arizona Cardinals (6-5) visit the Minnesota Vikings (9-2) in a battle between two playoff hopefuls. The Vikings are 3.5-point favorites, but the Cardinalsā€™ dynamic offense presents a formidable challenge.

Arizonaā€™s offense is led by Kyler Murray, who excels against blitz-heavy defenses like Minnesotaā€™s. Murrayā€™s connection with tight end Trey McBride and slot receiver Greg Dortch will be crucial against the Vikingsā€™ vulnerable secondary. While the Cardinalsā€™ run game has struggled, Murrayā€™s mobility and quick decision-making could negate Minnesotaā€™s defensive pressure. Defensively, Arizonaā€™s pass rush will look to disrupt Sam Darnold, but their run defense faces a tough test against Aaron Jones.

Minnesotaā€™s offense has been effective despite injuries, thanks to Darnoldā€™s steady play and the return of Justin Jefferson. The Vikingsā€™ run game, led by Jones, could struggle against Arizonaā€™s solid defensive front. Defensively, Minnesota relies on heavy blitzing but could be exposed by Murrayā€™s ability to thrive under pressure. The Vikingsā€™ secondary has been inconsistent, which could lead to big plays for Arizona.

The Cardinalsā€™ ability to counter Minnesotaā€™s blitzes and generate offensive momentum gives them a strong chance to cover. However, the Vikingsā€™ home-field advantage and superior run game should secure the win.Ā 

 

Prediction: Vikings -3.5 (-105)Ā 

 

Seattle Seahawks vs. New York Jets

 

The Seattle Seahawks (6-5) travel to MetLife Stadium to face the New York Jets (3-8) in a game that could significantly impact Seattleā€™s playoff chances. The Seahawks are 2-point favorites.

Seattleā€™s offense has regained its rhythm with the return of D.K. Metcalf and the emergence of Jaxon Smith-Njigba. Quarterback Geno Smith will target a Jets secondary that has underperformed despite its talent. Kenneth Walker should also find success against New Yorkā€™s porous run defense. Defensively, Seattleā€™s pass rush will look to pressure Aaron Rodgers, who has struggled behind a shaky offensive line.

The Jetsā€™ offense remains stagnant, with Rodgers unable to find consistency. New Yorkā€™s run game, once a strength, has faltered recently, and drops and miscommunication have plagued their passing attack. Defensively, the Jets have been solid against the pass but vulnerable against the run, which could spell trouble against Walker.

Seattleā€™s balanced offense and defensive edge make them the clear favorite. Expect Smith and Walker to exploit New Yorkā€™s weaknesses and lead the Seahawks to victory.Ā 

 

Prediction: Seahawks -1 (-110)Ā 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers

 

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6) head to Carolina to face the Panthers (3-8) in a divisional matchup. Tampa looks to stay in playoff contention, while Carolina aims to build momentum after recent competitive outings. The Bucs are favored by 6 points in a game with a 46.5-point total.

The Buccaneers’ offense is gradually finding its rhythm with the return of Mike Evans, who played limited snaps last week but made a notable impact. Evans will likely be a more significant factor against a Panthers defense struggling against top receivers. Baker Mayfield should have better protection if star tackle Tristan Wirfs returns.Ā 

On the ground, rookie Bucky Irving is thriving and should exploit Carolina’s poor run defense, which ranks near the bottom of the league. Tampaā€™s defense, particularly its stout run-stopping front, will focus on containing Bryce Young’s offense.

Bryce Young has shown flashes of improvement, posting his fourth positive EPA game last week. However, the Panthers’ offensive line must protect him better to capitalize on his growth. The ground game, led by Chuba Hubbard, faces a significant challenge against a Buccaneers unit excelling in rush defense.Ā 

Adam Thielenā€™s return gives Young a reliable target, but Carolinaā€™s offense remains inconsistent. On defense, D.J. Wonnumā€™s pass-rushing resurgence provides hope, but the team struggles in key matchups against elite receivers like Evans.

While Carolina has shown signs of life, Tampa Bayā€™s balanced attack and improved offensive health provide an edge. The Buccaneersā€™ run game should dominate, and Baker Mayfield will find opportunities against a vulnerable Panthers secondary.Ā 

 

Prediction: Buccaneers -6 (-110)Ā 

 

Los Angeles Rams vs. New Orleans Saints

 

The Los Angeles Rams (5-6) visit the New Orleans Saints (4-7) in a pivotal NFC clash. Both teams aim to strengthen their playoff hopes, with the Rams favored by 3 points and the game total set at 49.

The Rams’ offense is poised for success, with Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua presenting matchup nightmares for a depleted Saints secondary. With Matthew Stafford’s protection improving thanks to a healthier offensive line, Los Angeles should generate a consistent offensive rhythm. On the ground, Kyren Williams could exploit New Orleans’ vulnerable run defense, giving the Rams a balanced attack. Defensively, the Rams’ high-pressure unit, led by Aaron Donald, aims to disrupt Derek Carr and force hurried throws.

Despite two recent wins, the Saints’ offense still needs consistency. Derek Carr has benefited from big plays to receivers like Marquez Valdes-Scantling, but regression is likely against a Rams defense adept at limiting explosive plays. New Orleans’ ground game, featuring Alvin Kamara, faces a tough matchup against a Rams defense ranked near the top in rush defense. Weakened by injuries and a low-pressure rate, the Saints’ defense will struggle to contain the Rams’ dynamic passing game.

The Rams, motivated after a blowout loss to the Eagles, will outclass a Saints team that hasnā€™t faced intense competition recently. Staffordā€™s ability to exploit mismatches will be the deciding factor.Ā 

 

Prediction: Rams -2.5 (-120)Ā 

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Baltimore Ravens

 

Two playoff contenders collide as the Philadelphia Eagles (9-2) face the Baltimore Ravens (8-4) in a high-stakes showdown. Baltimore is a 3-point favorite in a game with a 50.5-point total.

The Eagles boast a complete team with a top-tier defense and an offense led by Jalen Hurts. Against Baltimoreā€™s struggling secondary, A.J. Brown and Dallas Goedert should thrive. Philadelphiaā€™s defense ranked first in rush defense, but it will focus on limiting Lamar Jacksonā€™s dual-threat capabilities. Saquon Barkley could have another strong performance, especially with Baltimore missing key defensive pieces like Roquan Smith.

Lamar Jackson leads a Ravens team that thrives on creativity but has struggled against disciplined defenses like Philadelphiaā€™s. Baltimoreā€™s rushing attack, including Derrick Henry, will face its toughest test against the Eaglesā€™ dominant front. While Jackson can target Philadelphiaā€™s secondary with help from tight ends, his receivers may struggle to separate. The Ravens’ defense, usually strong against the run, faces a daunting challenge against a balanced Eagles offense.

The Eaglesā€™ ability to limit big plays and exploit Baltimoreā€™s defensive weaknesses gives them the edge in this matchup. Hurts and Brown will capitalize on mismatches to secure a narrow victory.Ā 

 

Prediction: Eagles +3 (-110)Ā 

 

San Francisco 49ers vs. Buffalo Bills

 

The San Francisco 49ers (5-6) travel to face the Buffalo Bills (9-2) in a primetime clash. Injuries to key 49ers players have Buffalo entering as a 7-point favorite in a game with a 44.5-point total.

San Francisco 49ers: Injuries plague the 49ers, with Brock Purdy, Trent Williams, and Nick Bosa dealing with health concerns. The offense has struggled without these stars, as evidenced by a lackluster performance against Seattle. Christian McCaffreyā€™s recent inefficiency also limits San Franciscoā€™s ability to exploit Buffaloā€™s weaknesses against the run. Defensively, the 49ers need a healthy Bosa to contain Josh Allen, but his availability is uncertain.

The Bills continue their dominant season behind MVP candidate Josh Allen, who excels both as a passer and rusher. Buffaloā€™s offense should capitalize on San Franciscoā€™s weakened defense, with Dalton Kincaid and Khalil Shakir emerging as key contributors. On defense, the Billsā€™ opportunistic unit will look to disrupt San Franciscoā€™s shaky offensive line and force turnovers.

The Billsā€™ balance and health advantage will be too much for the injury-riddled 49ers to overcome. Allen will shine in primetime as Buffalo strengthens its hold on the AFC.Ā 

 

Prediction: Bills -7 (-110)Ā 

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