MLB Lines: Mets vs Brewers Game 3

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MLB Lines: New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Game 3

The New York Mets (89-73) and Milwaukee Brewers (93-69) are set to battle in Game 3 of their best-of-three Wild Card series on Thursday night at American Family Field. 

The game is scheduled for 8:38 PM ET, with the winner advancing to the National League Division Series (NLDS). Jose Quintana will get the start for the Mets, while the Brewers counter with Tobias Myers.

BUSR’s MLB Lines

New York Trying to Avoid Another Late Collapse

The Mets had a great chance to sweep the Brewers in Game 2 after taking Game 1, but a late-inning collapse in the bottom of the eighth, courtesy of reliever Phil Maton, allowed the Brewers to stage a comeback. Maton gave up two home runs and three total runs, erasing a solid performance by starter Sean Manaea. 

With the series now tied, New York will try to bounce back and move on to the next round with a win on Thursday night.

New York averaged 4.75 runs per game during the regular season, with a .247 team batting average that ranked 12th in Major League Baseball (MLB). Their offense has been solid overall, with a .320 on-base percentage, which ranks eighth, and a .416 slugging percentage, which was ninth. 

Mets’ Offense

Francisco Lindor led the Mets’ offense with a .273 batting average and 91 RBIs, while slugger Pete Alonso contributed a team-high 34 home runs. With these key contributors in their lineup, New York will rely on their offensive consistency to overcome Milwaukee’s formidable pitching.

On the mound, New York’s pitchers performed well throughout the season, giving up 3.91 runs per game. Opponents hit just .229 against them, the second-best mark in the league. New York’s team ERA of 3.94 ranked 14th, while their 1.26 WHIP placed them 18th.

In this series, the Mets’ pitching staff has allowed nine runs over the first two games, with much of the damage coming late in Game 2.

Jose Quintana, who will take the mound for the Mets, finished the regular season with a 10-10 record and a 3.75 ERA. However, in his most recent start against the Brewers, he gave up five hits and two runs in 4.1 innings, which led to a 6-0 loss. The Mets will need a better performance from Quintana to avoid another collapse and secure the win.

Milwaukee Going for a Second Consecutive Win

The Brewers showed resilience in Game 2, returning to win and forcing a decisive Game 3. Milwaukee’s victory kept their season alive, and they will try to keep the momentum going as they aim to advance to the NLDS for the first time since 2021.

During the regular season, Milwaukee averaged 4.80 runs per game, finishing with a .248 team batting average, eighth in MLB. Their on-base percentage of .326 was fourth, and their slugging percentage of .403 ranked 13th. Milwaukee dominated the Mets during the regular season, outscoring them 26-17 in their six meetings, and they will be hoping for a similar performance in the deciding game.

William Contreras was a key player for the Brewers, leading the team with a .281 batting average. Willy Adames provided the power, hitting 32 home runs and driving in 112 RBIs. In Game 2, the hero was Jackson Chourio, who went 2-4 with two home runs and two RBIs, leading Milwaukee to the comeback win.

Milwaukee’s pitching was one of the best in baseball this season, allowing just 3.62 runs per game. Opponents hit .237 against the Brewers, ranking them 10th in the league. Their team ERA of 3.65 was the fifth-best in MLB, and their WHIP of 1.23 was ninth. The Brewers will need their pitching staff sharp in Game 3 to shut down the Mets’ offense.

Tobias Myers, who will start for the Brewers, finished the regular season with a 9-6 record and a 3.00 ERA. In his most recent start, Myers was impressive, giving up just one hit and no runs over four innings in a 6-0 victory over the Mets. The Brewers will need another strong outing from him to move on to the next round.

Prediction

The Mets and Brewers enter Game 3, winning three of their last five games. New York’s offense has been slightly better, scoring 24 runs over that span compared to Milwaukee’s 23 runs. 

This could be a critical advantage for the Mets, especially since Brewers’ starter Tobias Myers has struggled in recent starts, giving up ten runs in his last three outings. Additionally, Milwaukee’s bullpen has been shaky, allowing seven runs over the past three games, which could open the door for New York’s offense to capitalize.

On the other hand, Mets’ starter Jose Quintana has been in excellent form recently, giving up only two runs across his last four starts and throwing three shutouts during that span. He’s been particularly effective in road games, allowing just four runs over his last four road starts. If Quintana can replicate his recent success, the Brewers’ offense might find it difficult to score.

With both teams’ bullpens playing a pivotal role, New York’s relievers have outperformed their Milwaukee counterparts in this series, giving the Mets an edge in a close contest. Despite a rough eighth inning in Game 2, the Mets have limited Milwaukee’s offensive output. Look for New York to lean on its solid pitching and timely hitting to outlast the Brewers.

Prediction: New York Mets Moneyline +112