Kentucky Derby Prep Races: Holly Bull Stakes Preview

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Kentucky Derby Prep Races Odds

Holy Bull Stakes Preview: Value Bets and Key Contenders

The Road to the Kentucky Derby continues with the Grade 3 Holy Bull Stakes at Gulfstream Park this Saturday. 

As one of the key Kentucky Derby Prep Races, this 1 1/16-mile contest offers valuable qualifying points and a clearer picture of emerging contenders. With Kentucky Derby betting heating up, the seven-horse field presents an opportunity for value seekers looking beyond the morning-line favorite. While Kentucky Derby odds favor Ferocious, his status as the top choice is debatable given the competition.

Ferocious Faces Tougher Competition

Ferocious has never run a poor race, making his 3-year-old debut as the 5-2 morning-line favorite. His explosive maiden win at Saratoga was followed by second-place finishes in two Grade 1 events before a troubled trip in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile saw him finish fifth. While his consistency is undeniable, the Holy Bull field features several improving runners who could provide better betting value.

Tappan Street: The Fast-Rising Contender

Tappan Street, trained by Todd Pletcher, broke his maiden impressively just five weeks ago at Gulfstream. He pressed the pace before drawing away to win by 1 3/4 lengths in a fast time. The strength of that race is evident, with a sizable gap between the top finishers. As the 2-1 second choice, he offers an intriguing alternative to Ferocious with the benefit of recency and local track experience.

Burnham Square’s Breakout Performance

Burnham Square took three starts to break his maiden, but it was an eye-catching nine-length romp when he did. The margin between first and third was an astounding 16 3/4 lengths, signaling just how dominant he was against that field. Listed at 4-1, Burnham Square presents a solid mix of talent and value, making him an interesting play for bettors looking for an upset.

Guns Loaded: A Potential Pace Play

Guns Loaded, at 7-1, could steal this race on the front end. He will surely attract interest with Irad Ortiz Jr. aboard and a recent stakes win. However, his ability to hold off late closers is a question mark. While his odds may drift lower due to his connections, he remains a must-use in multi-race wagers.

Final Thoughts and Betting Strategy

This year’s Holy Bull offers a substantial betting opportunity for those looking to play against the favorite. While Ferocious is talented, his price may be too short given the presence of rising stars like Tappan Street and Burnham Square. Guns Loaded provides another angle for those who believe in front-running tactics.