NFL Picks: Week 4 Buccaneers vs Saints

NFL
September 29, 2023

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In Week 4 NFL action, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are set to face the New Orleans Saints at the Caesars Superdome. The Buccaneers suffered their first loss of the season against the Philadelphia Eagles, falling to 2-1, while the Saints faced their first loss against the Green Bay Packers and hold a similar 2-1 record.

BUSR NFL Lines

Spread: Buccaneers +3 (+100), Saints -3 (-120) 

Moneyline: Buccaneers +136, Saints -168 

Total: O 41 (-110), U 41 (-110) 

nfl match saints vs bucsBucs Got Handled Their First Loss

The Buccaneers’ offense, led by Baker Mayfield, has been effective, with Mayfield passing for 636 yards, 4 touchdowns, and an interception. Running back Rachaad White has contributed 150 rushing yards and a touchdown. The receiving corps features Mike Evans, with 17 receptions for 297 yards and 3 touchdowns, along with Chris Godwin, who has 141 receiving yards. On defense, Ryan Neal leads in total tackles with 25, while Christian Izien has recorded two interceptions, and Joe Tryon-Shoyinka has contributed two sacks.

Historically, the Buccaneers have shown resilience following a home loss, winning seven of their last eight such games. However, they’ve faced challenges covering the spread in October games against NFC South opponents and have consistently scored the first touchdown as road underdogs in NFC South matchups.

 

Saints Looking for Third Victory 

The Saints, led by quarterback Derek Carr, have put up a fight this season with 2 wins and 1 loss. Carr has thrown for 636 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions, while Taysom Hill leads the rushing attack with 91 yards. Tony Jones Jr. has added two rushing touchdowns. The receiving corps features Chris Olave with 22 receptions for 302 yards, while Michael Thomas and Rashid Shaheed have also contributed over 150 receiving yards each. On the defensive side, Pete Werner leads in total tackles with 26, and Carl Granderson has recorded a team-high 2.5 sacks.

Historically, the Saints have performed well in October games against NFC South opponents, winning their last eight such matchups. However, they have struggled to cover the spread at Caesars Superdome against teams with winning records and have been involved in tight contests this season, with their three games decided by a combined 5 points.

 

Prediction

While there’s a case to be made for the Saints, the Buccaneers are considered the stronger team. Even after their primetime loss, the Buccaneers remain a formidable force. Considering that the Saints’ games this season have been closely contested, it’s likely that this matchup will also be tightly contested, regardless of the outcome. Ultimately, the Buccaneers are favored to come out on top, but expect another close and competitive game. The Buccaneers at +3 are a great choice on BUSR NFL Odds.