NFL Picks: Week 1 Jaguars vs Colts

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As the iconic clock ticks towards 1:00 pm ET on Sunday, September 10, 2023, fans will pour into the Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN, eagerly awaiting the latest chapter in the narrative of two dramatically differing NFL teams. The Jacksonville Jaguars and the Indianapolis Colts, each with its own legacy from the previous season, will renew their rivalry. Let’s delve into the recent history and prospective dynamics of this upcoming match.

BUSR NFL Lines: 

Spread: Jaguars -5 (-110), Colts +5 (-110) 

Moneyline: Jaguars -222, Colts +178

Total: O 45 (-110), U 45 (-110) 

Jaguars: Climbing the Ladder

Last season saw the Jaguars notch a commendable 9-8 overall record. Dominating their division with a 4-2 win ratio and securing a 5-3 record in home games, their Achilles heel was slightly exposed during road games, where they settled for a 4-5 record. Statistically, their offensive prowess was evident, averaging 23.8 points and 357.4 yards per game. On the defensive side, they maintained a decent stance by allowing only 20.6 points and 353.3 yards per game. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence showcased his promise by accumulating 4113 passing yards. Travis Etienne’s agility helped him clinch 1125 rushing yards, while Christian Kirk emerged as a crucial receiver, recording 1108 yards.

Colts: Seeking Redemption

The previous season was not one for the memory books for the Colts. Their record stood at a disappointing 4-12-1, with a particularly underwhelming performance in their division games (1-4-1). Their home and away records mirrored each other’s bleakness, both settling at 2-6, with an additional tie on the road. The offense struggled, averaging a mere 17 points and 311.6 yards per game. Their defense didn’t fare much better, conceding 25.1 points and 334 yards every game. Veteran Matt Ryan led in passing yards with 3057, and despite the team’s challenges, Jonathan Taylor and Michael Pittman Jr. were the shining lights, leading in rushing and receiving yards respectively.

In-depth Analysis

BUSR NFL Odds tilt the scale in favor of the Jaguars by listing them as a 5-point favorite. The Jaguars showcased significant progress last season, even clinching the AFC Title. However, their playoff journey was short-lived. As Lawrence gears up for his 3rd NFL season and with Doug Pederson in his 2nd year as the head coach, expectations are mounting. Pederson’s leadership transformed the Jaguars, and with the arsenal of talent surrounding Lawrence, they seem poised for another impressive run. 

The Colts, on the other hand, had a forgettable season. A new dawn awaits under the guidance of first-year head coach Steichen. Rookie QB Anthony Richardson’s selection has piqued interest, but the team’s overall talent pool, especially in the wake of Taylor’s issues, raises concerns. As Steichen tries to find a rhythm in his inaugural year, the Jaguars, with an ambition to be the AFC South juggernaut, are on the prowl for a resounding win to kickstart their campaign. For those considering betting, the Jaguars covering the spread seems a wise choice.

Injury Updates

Both teams head into the game grappling with injury concerns. For the Jaguars, J. Wells (OT) and V. Miller (LB) are on injured reserve with groin and Achilles issues, respectively. D. Smoot (DE) and D. Hamilton (DT) are sidelined for an indefinite period, while C. Claybrooks (CB) and L. Taylor (TE) face uncertainties. Notably, C. Robinson (OL) is slated for a return in Week 5 post-suspension. The Colts, meanwhile, have a laundry list of injured players, with J. Woods (TE) and Z. Moss (RB) under the scanner for Week 1. Several, including R. Seals-Jones (TE), J. Domann (LB), and D. Pinter (G), are on the injured reserve list. Star running back J. Taylor remains out indefinitely, putting additional pressure on the team. As Week 4 approaches, C. Lammons (DB) will be eligible post his suspension.