NFL Picks: Week 5 Bears vs Commanders

NFL
October 4, 2023

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The winless Chicago Bears, currently at 0-4, are heading to the nation’s capital, gearing up for a face-off against the Washington Commanders in the spotlight of Thursday Night Football.

BUSR NFL Lines

Spread: Bears +5.5 (-110), Commanders -5.5 (-110) 

Moneyline: Bears +200, Commanders -250 

Total: O 44.5 (-110), U 44.5 (-110) 

 

nfl match bears vs commandersChicago Bears

After a devastating loss to the Broncos, the Bears find themselves eager for a victory. Last Sunday’s game saw them surrender a 28-7 lead, which was particularly stinging. Amidst the team’s struggles, quarterback Justin Fields stood out, throwing for a career-best 335 yards, netting four touchdowns, and completing 28-of-35 passes. Offensively, the Bears recorded 26 first downs and 471 total yards. However, their defense showed some cracks, allowing 311 yards and failing to force any turnovers. In terms of league standings, they are currently 21st in total offense, 13th in rushing, 24th in passing, and impressively 8th in red zone efficiency. On the flip side, their defense ranks 28th, while they are 18th against the rush and 29th against the pass. Disturbingly, they stand at 28th in turnover differential and 23rd in penalties per game.

 

Washington Commanders

The Commanders, with a 2-2 record, recently endured a narrow loss to the defending NFC champions, the Philadelphia Eagles. Quarterback Sam Howell, in this backdrop, showcased a commendable performance, throwing for 290 yards and a touchdown without any interceptions. The team’s offense generated 365 yards, with 26 first downs and managed to convert 8-of-17 third downs. However, defensively they conceded 415 yards but did record six tackles for loss and three sacks. As they stand in the NFL rankings, they’re positioned at 20th in total offense, 17th in rushing, and 20th in passing. Their defense stands at 21st overall, 21st against the run, and 20th against the pass. They’re 24th in turnover efficiency but fare better in discipline, ranking 11th in penalties per game.

 

Prediction

The statistics suggest a closer game than what the teams’ records might reflect. The Commanders are on the rebound from a rigorous game against the Eagles, while the Bears recuperate from a slightly gentler match against the Broncos. Given these circumstances, the teams might be more evenly matched than they appear.

The numbers indicate that while the Bears might have underperformed so far, the Commanders might be overachieving. In light of this, giving the Bears a 5.5-point advantage in BUSR’s NFL Odds seems appealing. Those with a bold streak might consider betting on the Bears with the money line. But for those preferring a safer bet, taking the Bears +5.5 spread promises good returns.