NFL Picks: Week 4 Steelers vs Texans

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September 29, 2023

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In Week 4 NFL action, the Pittsburgh Steelers are set to clash with the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium. Here’s a preview of the game along with a pick and prediction.

 

BUSR NFL Lines 

Spread: Steelers -3 (-110), Texans +3 (-110) 

Moneyline: Steelers -156, Texans +128

Total: O 41 (-110), U 41 (-110) 

 

nfl match texans vs steelersHouston Texans 

The Houston Texans are aiming for another win to reach a .500 record but face a challenge as they haven’t won a home game since December 2021. Quarterback C.J. Stroud has been efficient, completing 64.5 percent of his passes for 906 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. The receiving duo of Nico Collins and Tank Dell has combined for 511 yards and 3 touchdowns. The ground game, however, has struggled, averaging just 70 yards per contest, with Dameon Pierce leading with 100 yards and 1 touchdown.

Defensively, the Texans are allowing 24.3 points and 340.7 yards per game. Linebacker Henry To’oTo’o leads the team with 20 tackles, while Jonathan Greenard has contributed with 1 sack, and Steven Nelson has 1 interception. The Texans have faced difficulties at home, losing their last eight games at NRG Stadium. They’ve also had trouble in Week 4 games recently, failing to cover the spread in their last four and losing the first half in each of them. However, underdog bettors might take note that the underdogs have won the first quarter in three of the Texans’ last four games.

 

Pittsburgh Steelers 

The Pittsburgh Steelers are looking to secure their third consecutive win and improve to 3-1 on the year. They have been impressive on the road, winning their last five road games. Quarterback Kenny Pickett has completed 59.6 percent of his passes for 689 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. His key targets include George Pickens and Calvin Austin III, who have amassed 357 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns. Running back Najee Harris leads the ground game with 139 yards on 35 carries.

Defensively, the Steelers have allowed 23.3 points and 387 yards per game. Their defense has been a standout, leading the league with 13 sacks. Linebacker Kwon Alexander tops the team with 24 tackles, Levi Wallace has 2 interceptions and T.J. Watt has 6 sacks.

The Steelers have been successful in road games against AFC South opponents, winning their last nine such matchups and covering the spread in their last seven. However, they have struggled in the first quarter of games as favorites against AFC opponents, losing 10 of their last 11 in this scenario. On the bright side, they have scored the first touchdown in eight of their last 10 road games against AFC South opponents.

 

Prediction

While both teams have their share of weaknesses, the Steelers’ defense, which leads the league in sacks, could pose a significant challenge to rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud. Stroud has already been sacked 11 times this season, making him one of the most sacked quarterbacks in the league. 

Given this matchup, it may not be the prettiest game, but the Steelers’ defensive strength gives them the edge. With that in mind, the prediction is to take the Steelers to cover the -3 spread in BUSR NFL Odds.