NFL PICKS WEEK 11: Raiders vs Dolphins

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In what promises to be an electrifying NFL matchup at Hard Rock Stadium, the Miami Dolphins, led by Tyreek Hill, are set to take on Joshua Jacobs and the Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET. 

BUSR NFL LINES 

SPREAD: Las Vegas Raiders +12 (-109), Miami Dolphins -12 (-111)

MONEYLINE:  Las Vegas Raiders +500, Miami Dolphins -750

TOTAL:  Las Vegas Raiders O 46.5 (-110), Miami Dolphins U 46.5 (-110)

Tyreek’s tidal surge: Dolphins aim to make Waves

The Miami Dolphins are coming off a hard-fought 21-14 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs, where quarterback Tua Tagovailoa displayed solid performance, accumulating 193 passing yards with a completion rate of 61.8%. Tagovailoa showcased his ability to distribute the ball effectively, connecting with a variety of targets. Raheem Mostert had a standout game on the ground, rushing for 85 yards on 12 carries, averaging an impressive 7.1 yards per carry. Hill, a key receiving threat, contributed with 62 yards on eight receptions.

Offensively, the Dolphins are led by Tagovailoa, Mostert, and standout receiver Tyreek Hill. Tagovailoa has accumulated 2,609 passing yards with a completion rate of 69.5%, showcasing his efficiency as the team’s signal-caller. Mostert has been a force in the running game, tallying 605 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns. Hill, a dynamic playmaker, has accumulated 1,076 receiving yards with eight touchdowns, providing a consistent deep threat for the Dolphins. Additionally, Jaylen Waddle and Braxton Berrios contribute to the receiving corps, adding depth to the passing attack.

Defensively, the Dolphins feature key players such as Bradley Chubb, David Long, and Xavien Howard. Chubb has been disruptive with 6.0 sacks, while Long and Howard contribute significantly in tackles and pass defense.

From a betting perspective, the Dolphins have displayed consistency, securing six wins against the spread in nine games. Notably, they have performed well when favored by 11.5 points or more, covering the spread in both instances. Dolphins games have also leaned towards the over, surpassing the total in 55.6% of opportunities, very good statistics for the NFL lines.

Raiders on a winning roll: Jacobs and Co. ready to roll the dice

On the flip side, the Las Vegas Raiders are coming off a hard-fought 16-12 victory against the New York Jets. Quarterback Aidan O’Connell had a steady performance, throwing for 153 yards with one touchdown and one interception. Running back Joshua Jacobs played a crucial role in securing the win, rushing for 116 yards on 27 carries and adding two receptions for 11 yards. Davante Adams, a key target for O’Connell, contributed with 86 receiving yards on six catches.

Offensively, the Raiders are led by Jacobs, Jakobi Meyers, and Adams. Jacobs has accumulated 622 rushing yards with five touchdowns, showcasing his ability to move the chains. Meyers and Adams provide a reliable receiving duo, combining for 1,122 receiving yards and eight touchdowns. Quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo has managed the offense, throwing for 1,205 yards with a completion rate of 65.5%.

Defensively, the Raiders boast playmakers such as Maxx Crosby, Robert Spillane, Trevon Moehrig, and Divine Deablo. Crosby has been a force in the pass rush with 9.5 sacks, while Spillane and Moehrig contribute significantly in tackles and interceptions.

From a betting perspective, the Raiders have a 5-5-0 record against the spread this season. However, their games have tended to stay under the total, going over only in 20% of opportunities, and this is not a very good signal for the NFL odds.