NFL Picks: Preseason Week 3 Steelers vs Falcons

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The Pittsburgh Steelers are all set to clash with the Atlanta Falcons in what promises to be a thrilling preseason finale on Thursday night. Both teams are coming into this encounter with an unblemished 2-0 preseason record, although their Against the Spread (ATS) and Over/Under (O/U) metrics differ. While the Steelers had a sound victory against the Buccaneers and also against the Bills, the Falcons emerged victorious against the Dolphins and secured a draw with the Bengals.

BUSR NFL Lines

• Spread: Steelers -4.5 (-110), Falcons +4.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: Steelers -214, Falcons +172
• Total: Steelers. O 38.5 (-110), Falcons U 38.5 (-110)

Steelers Aiming for a Perfect Preseason

The Steelers have been in impeccable form this preseason and are aiming for a flawless finish. After defeating the Buccaneers 27-17 on the road and ensuring a home win of 27-15 against the Bills, the Steelers’ form is noteworthy.

Kenny Pickett, despite his commendable performances, might get a breather this game. The depth in the Steelers’ quarterback department is very solid. Mitch Trubisky, the backup QB who had previously been a crucial starter for Chicago, has returned to Pittsburgh. With a 4:5 TD to INT-ratio last season and a new contract under his belt, Trubisky showcased his skill by converting 10 out of 13 passes against Buffalo.

Mason Rudolph, with a career TD-to-INT ratio of 16:11, has accumulated 184 passing yards in the preseason. Tanner Morgan, a promising third-string quarterback with a notable history with the Big Ten’s Minnesota, may also get some game time.

On the RB front, Najee Harris is likely to be rested. Jaylen Warren, the backup RB, has been sensational this preseason, accumulating significant rushing yards. Although the Steelers’ receiving lineup isn’t as formidable as it once was, players like Diontae Johnson and George Pickens have been consistent.

Analyzing last season’s data, the Steelers managed an average of 18.1 points, ranking 26th, but their defense stood out, only allowing 20.4 points on average, positioning them 10th in the league.

Falcons Defense Steals the Show

Last season, the defense was the Achilles heel for the Falcons. However, they’ve showcased a commendable defensive improvement this preseason. Following a 19-3 victory over the Dolphins, the Falcons managed a draw against the Bengals.

It’s predicted that Desmond Ridder will be rested for the week, giving Taylor Heinicke, who has previously started for the Commanders, an opportunity to shine. Logan Woodside, despite lacking starting experience, has shown promise with 204 passing yards in the preseason. The RB department for the Falcons isn’t particularly seasoned, but rookie Bijan Robinson is expected to make waves.

On the receiving end, Drake London is the star with an impressive rookie season. Mack Hollins, a recent addition to the Falcons and an NFL veteran, has also shown promise. The defense has been rejuvenated, with the management pinning hopes on Jeff Okudah to make a significant impact.

In terms of last season’s statistics, Atlanta secured an average of 21.5 points, ranking 15th. However, their defense, which conceded an average of 22.7 points, placed them 24th.

Recommendations

Coach Mike Tomlin’s Steelers, known for their winning mentality, have won their last two preseason games by impressive margins. Their record stands at a remarkable 13-3 in their past 16 preseason matches. Atlanta’s coach, Arthur Smith, is relatively new with a 4-4 exhibition record.

Given that this is the last preseason match, starters are expected to see limited action, if at all. The Steelers’ depth, especially in the QB department, is likely to play a pivotal role. Trubisky has been hitting a 65% pass completion rate, while Rudolph has demonstrated consistency. In contrast, the Falcons’ backup QBs, Taylor Heinicke and Logan Woodside, are yet to score a touchdown in the preseason.

In summary, this encounter promises excitement, strategies, and a glimpse of the season to come. Whether you’re a Steelers or a Falcons fan, this is a preseason game you wouldn’t want to miss, but my money would be on the Steelers -214 moneyline NFL Odds.