NFL Picks: Week 9 Commanders vs Patriots

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Brian Robinson Jr. and the Washington Commanders are set to clash with the New England Patriots in what promises to be an intriguing NFL matchup at Gillette Stadium this coming Sunday at 1:00 PM ET. 

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SPREAD: Washington Commanders +3.5 (-116), New England Patriots -3.5 (-104)

MONEYLINE:  Washington Commanders +145, New England Patriots -170

TOTAL:  Washington Commanders O 40.5 (-108), New England Patriots U 40.5 (-112)

Mac Jones and the Patriots Prepare for Battle

The New England Patriots, under the leadership of rookie quarterback Mac Jones, faced a challenging encounter against the Miami Dolphins in their last game, which ended in a 31-17 loss. Despite the defeat, Mac Jones demonstrated his growing prowess, completing 65.5% of his passes for 161 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception. Jones, who has thrown for 1,641 yards and nine touchdowns this season, continues to be a rising star for the Patriots.

Rhamondre Stevenson has been a notable presence in the Patriots’ ground game, with 307 rushing yards and two touchdowns to his name. In the last game, he carried the ball ten times for 39 yards and added value in the passing game with two receptions for 11 yards. Kendrick Bourne is another key player in the Patriots’ offense, contributing three receptions for 36 yards, including a touchdown against the Dolphins.

The Patriots’ defense, led by Christian Barmore, Ja’Whaun Bentley, and Kyle Dugger, has shown promise, with Barmore registering three sacks and Bentley amassing 55 tackles. The NFL Odds, Patriots in a bad season, can try to win at Home.

Sam Howell and Commanders Aim to Bounce Back

Conversely, the Washington Commanders, who recently faced the Philadelphia Eagles, endured a close 38-31 loss. Quarterback Sam Howell had an impressive performance, going 39-for-52 with 397 yards, four touchdowns, and one interception. Brian Robinson Jr., the standout running back for the Commanders, carried the ball ten times for 59 yards and contributed with two catches for 20 yards in the passing game. Jahan Dotson was the leading receiver for Washington, with eight receptions for 108 yards and a touchdown.

Howell’s stats for the season include 2,146 passing yards, 13 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions. Robinson has been a workhorse for the Commanders, with 384 rushing yards, 4 touchdowns, 13 receptions for 133 yards, and 2 receiving touchdowns. His dual-threat ability has been crucial for the Commanders’ offensive success.

The Commanders’ receiving corps, led by Terry McLaurin and Curtis Samuel, provides Howell with valuable targets. McLaurin has recorded 42 receptions for 495 yards and two touchdowns, while Samuel has 35 receptions for 332 yards and two touchdowns.

Defensively, the Commanders are anchored by Kamren Curl, Jamin Davis, Benjamin St-Juste, and Da’Ron Payne, who have all made significant contributions throughout the season. The NFL Odds, the Commanders looking for an easy victory.

Betting Landscape

In terms of betting, the Patriots have shown some promise by covering the spread twice in 2023. On the other hand, the Commanders have recorded three wins against the spread this season.

The Commanders have also covered the spread when underdogs by 3.5 points or more in four chances. The point totals have gone over in 50% of the Commanders’ games this season, indicating the potential for high-scoring action.