Monday Night Football Odds Week 4

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MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL ODDS WEEK 4

Two big games are featured on Monday Night Football Odds; let’s analyze each and see how NFL Futures are shaping up for the big matchups. 

TITANS VS DOLPHINS

On Monday night, the Tennessee Titans head south to face the Miami Dolphins in a crucial AFC matchup. The Titans are still searching for their first win of the season, while the Dolphins, currently 1-2, are trying to stay afloat amidst quarterback uncertainty following Tua Tagovailoa’s concussion. 

Tennessee Titans

The Titans are coming off a rough 30-14 loss to the Green Bay Packers, dropping them to 0-3 on the season. Quarterback Will Levis has struggled mightily, turning the ball over eight times in three games.

 In the loss to the Packers, Levis completed 26 of 34 passes for 260 yards and two touchdowns but also threw two interceptions, one of which was returned for a touchdown. The Titans’ ground game was nearly non-existent, with only 33 rushing yards on 11 attempts, and Levis was sacked eight times, showing apparent issues with pass protection.

On defense, Tennessee registered three sacks and six tackles for loss, but they allowed Green Bay to rack up 378 total yards, including 188 on the ground. Despite their 0-3 record, the Titans’ defense has been solid, ranking fifth in the NFL in total defense. 

They are second against the pass, allowing just 178 passing yards per game, and are seventh in red zone defense. However, turnovers have been their Achilles’ heel, as they rank 30th in the league in turnover margin.

The Titans have some injury concerns heading into the game. Cornerback Chidobe Awuzie is doubtful, while defensive lineman Jeffery Simmons, cornerback L’Jarius Sneed, and safety Amani Hooker are all questionable.

Miami Dolphins

The Dolphins are coming off a 24-3 loss to the Seattle Seahawks, which dropped them to 1-2 on the season. Already missing starting quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, Miami also saw backup Skylar Thompson leave the game with a rib injury. 

The Dolphins may turn to newly signed Tyler Huntley, as they have yet to commit to a starter. The team struggled to move the ball, managing just 232 total yards. Third-string quarterback Tim Boyle went 7-for-13 for 79 yards after coming in for Thompson.

Miami’s offense has been inconsistent, ranking 16th in total offense through three games. They are 26th in rushing and 23rd in passing, and their red zone performance has been dismal, ranking 31st in converting red zone trips into touchdowns. On the defensive side, the Dolphins are 11th in total defense but have struggled in the red zone, also ranking 31st in red zone defense.

The Dolphins’ injury list is long heading into this game, with key players like running back Raheem Mostert, fullback Alec Ingold, and offensive tackle Terron Armstead listed as questionable. Quarterback Skylar Thompson is also questionable, and his status will likely determine who starts under center for Miami.

Prediction

Given the uncertainty surrounding the Dolphins’ quarterback situation, they will likely rely heavily on their running game to control the clock and limit turnovers. Miami’s sixth-ranked time of possession gives them an edge against a Titans team that struggles with ball security. Huntley’s experience and mobility should provide the Dolphins with enough offensive stability to move the ball methodically.

On defense, the Dolphins will look to capitalize on Will Levis’ turnover-prone play. Miami’s defense recorded two interceptions last week and will likely have opportunities to do the same against Tennessee’s struggling offense. The Titans’ inability to protect Levis and their weak running game could lead to another long night for Tennessee.

In what could be a tight, low-scoring game, the Dolphins should have enough to edge out the Titans at home. Expect Miami to lean on its ground game and defense to secure a much-needed win.

Prediction: Miami Dolphins -2.5

Seahawks vs Lions

The Seattle Seahawks head into Week 4 after a dominant 24-3 victory over Miami. The Seahawks previously defeated Denver (26-20) and New England (23-20) to maintain their undefeated record. Meanwhile, the Detroit Lions secured a 20-13 win over Arizona, rebounding from a Week 2 loss to Tampa Bay (20-16). 

Seattle Seahawks

Seattle has been one of the most impressive defensive teams in the NFL this season. They outclassed Miami last weekend, holding the Dolphins to just 3.7 yards per play and allowing a combined 1-for-15 on third and fourth down attempts. 

The Seahawks have yet to allow more than 150 passing yards in their three games, becoming the first team to achieve this since the 1979 Pittsburgh Steelers. Despite some offensive struggles, including 11 penalties and two interceptions, Seattle outgained Miami by 165 yards.

Offensively, the Seahawks average 24.3 points and 344 total yards per game, ranking 8th in both categories. Their passing game, led by Geno Smith, ranks third in the league with 246.7 yards per game. 

Smith has completed 74.8% of his passes for 787 yards, three touchdowns, and three interceptions. DK Metcalf, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and Tyler Lockett have been his primary targets, while Kenneth Walker III has been solid on the ground, rushing for 103 yards and a touchdown in Week 1. However, Walker has missed the last two games due to an oblique injury, leaving Zach Charbonnet to fill in with 141 rushing yards and four total touchdowns.

Defensively, Seattle has been elite, allowing just 14.3 points per game (4th in the league) and 248.7 total yards (2nd). The Seahawks are first in passing defense, surrendering only 132.3 yards per game through the air. They’ve recorded 11 sacks, two interceptions, and a fumble recovery this season.

Critical injuries include Kenneth Walker III, Noah Fant, and several key defenders, all of whom are questionable heading into Monday night.

Detroit Lions

Detroit enters Monday’s game after holding Arizona to three second-half points in a 20-13 victory. Despite being shut out in the second half, the Lions dominated the time of possession and outgained the Cardinals by over 100 yards.

Detroit has shown balance on both sides of the ball, averaging 20.7 points per game (16th in the league) and 399.7 total yards (4th). Their rushing attack, led by David Montgomery and rookie Jahmyr Gibbs, ranks 4th in the NFL with 163 rushing yards per game. Montgomery has 231 yards and three touchdowns on the season, while Gibbs has contributed 207 yards and a touchdown.

Jared Goff leads the Lions’ passing game with 723 yards, three touchdowns, and four interceptions. His top targets include Jameson Williams and Amon-Ra St. Brown, who have combined for 416 receiving yards and two touchdowns.

Defensively, Detroit allows 17.7 points per game (9th) and 293.3 total yards (10th). Their rushing defense has been particularly effective, ranking 4th in the league and holding opponents to just 76.7 rushing yards per game. The Lions have also recorded eight sacks and three interceptions this season, showing they can disrupt opposing offenses.

Detroit’s critical injuries include defensive backs Ifeatu Melifonwu, Brian Branch, and Ennis Rakestraw Jr., who are all questionable, while center Frank Ragnow is out with a pectoral injury.

Prediction

While Seattle’s defense has been outstanding, their offense has struggled with consistency. With Kenneth Walker III banged up, the Seahawks could struggle to move the ball effectively. 

Detroit’s defense has been strong on third down, allowing just a 25 percent conversion rate, and should be able to contain Seattle’s passing attack, which relies heavily on Smith’s connection with his receivers.

The Lions’ balanced offense, led by their potent rushing attack, should find success against a depleted Seahawks front. Jared Goff has also excelled indoors, covering the spread in 26 of his last 35 games played in domes. With the Lions coming off an impressive win and Seattle facing injury concerns, expect Detroit to cover the spread at home.

Prediction: Lions -4