Kentucky Derby Prep Races: 2025 Florida Derby

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Kentucky Derby Prep Races Odds

Florida Derby 2025: Full Field Breakdown and Betting Insights

The final stop on Gulfstream Park’s Road to the 2025 Kentucky Derby is here. Saturday’s $1 million Grade 1 Florida Derby features an entire field of 10 colts chasing crucial Derby points in one of the season’s top Kentucky Derby Prep Races. The 1 1/8-mile contest offers points on a 100-50-25-15-10 scale to the top five eligible finishers, setting the stage for a shake-up in the current Kentucky Derby odds and a fresh look at Kentucky Derby betting value.

Among the contenders, five runners have already appeared on the Derby trail and collected a combined 106 points. Sovereignty leads the pack with 60 points and is already qualified for the Run for the Roses after winning both the Street Sense (G3) and the Fountain of Youth (G2). He’ll be the heavy favorite again, breaking from the outside with Manny Franco aboard, replacing the injured Junior Alvarado.

Top Contenders: Class and Connections

Madaket Road, trained by Bob Baffert, arrives as a significant threat. A $650,000 yearling purchase, he has competed well in California with back-to-back graded stakes placings, including a runner-up effort in the Rebel Stakes (G2). He enters with 31 Derby points and removes blinkers for this start. Though he has faded late in two previous nine-furlong attempts, his early speed makes him a win contender.

Tappan Street, trained by Brad Cox, rounds out the trio of top choices. With only two lifetime starts, he impressed with a maiden win followed by a runner-up finish in the Holy Bull (G3), where he earned 10 points. A $1 million purchase, he’s lightly raced but talented and will be a solid third choice on the board.

Disruptor adds intrigue with just two career starts. The lightly raced son of Gun Runner and $1.15 million yearling purchase from Repole Stable won his last race by more than nine lengths. Now, stepping into a Grade 1 company and stretching out to two turns, **his potential is undeniable—**his upside makes him hard to ignore.

Midfield Runners: Value or Toss?

Neoequos brings tactical speed and consistency, finishing third in the Fountain of Youth to earn 15 points. He’s hit the board in five straight starts and figures to be involved early. Jimmy’s Daily could be a sneaky long shot. After breaking his maiden in January, he was runner-up going two turns in February and now picks up Joel Rosario.

Cool Intentions and Smoken Boy bring modest resumes, long layoffs, or poor recent form, making them challenging to support on the ticket. Enterdadragon offers experience but has done most of his running on turf, while Indecisiveness hasn’t shown enough to be competitive at this level.

Pace and Strategy: Who Sets the Tempo?

A fast pace looks likely, with Neoequos, Disruptor, and Madaket Road expected to battle for the early lead. That could benefit Sovereignty, who prefers to close from off the pace, though trainer Bill Mott may not have him fully cranked up with a 2025 Kentucky Derby spot already locked in.

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