A new AP-NORC poll reveals a significant shift in Democratic sentiment following President Joe Biden’s withdrawal from the 2024 race. About 8 in 10 Democrats now express satisfaction with Kamala Harris as the party’s nominee, a stark contrast to the lukewarm support Biden received.
HARRIS’S MOMENTUM
Harris’s candidacy has invigorated the Democratic base, with increased enthusiasm from key constituencies, including younger voters and minorities. This surge in support highlights the party’s rapid coalescence around Harris, driven by her dynamic presence and the fresh energy she brings to the campaign.
THE BATTLE AHEAD
Despite the enthusiasm, Americans anticipate a tough presidential contest. While Harris’s favorability has risen to 46%, most U.S. adults believe Trump is more likely to win if he faces Harris in the general election. This perception underscores the high stakes and intensity of the upcoming battle, which will influence the presidential betting odds.
A HISTORIC CANDIDACY
Harris’s campaign is historic; she would be the first woman, Black woman, South Asian American, and Asian American to win the presidency. While around 4 in 10 Americans view electing a woman or person of color positively, most Democrats believe it would benefit the country, showcasing the significance of her candidacy.
ENTHUSIASM FROM KEY GROUPS
The poll indicates that 7 in 10 Black and half Hispanic adults would be satisfied with Harris as the nominee, a marked increase from earlier in July. Additionally, 4 in 10 adults under 45 now support Harris, compared to just 17% for Biden previously, pointing to the fact that this growing support is crucial for building a robust coalition ahead of November.
BIDEN’S DECISION AND ITS IMPACT
Most Americans approve of Biden’s decision to withdraw and endorse Harris, though opinions on his overall performance remain steady. This transition has allowed Harris to enter the spotlight, with the Democratic Party rallying behind her candidacy as they prepare for a competitive election.
THE ROAD TO NOVEMBER
As Harris continues to campaign vigorously, her ability to mobilize the Democratic base and appeal to a broader electorate will be critical. With the election approaching, the dynamics between Harris and Trump will be closely watched, shaping the presidential betting odds and the future of American politics.
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