NFL PICKS WEEK 12: Saints vs. Falcons

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In the upcoming matchup between the New Orleans Saints and the Atlanta Falcons, both teams are looking to bounce back from recent losses and secure a crucial win at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia.

BUSR NFL LINES 

SPREAD: New Orleans Saints PK (-110),  Atlanta Falcons PK (-110)

MONEYLINE:  New Orleans Saints -110,  Atlanta Falcons -110

TOTAL:  New Orleans Saints O 42 (-110), Atlanta Falcons U 42 (-110)

Bayou bounce back: Saints seek Redemption in Atlanta

The New Orleans Saints faced a setback in their last game, succumbing to the Minnesota Vikings with a score of 27-19. Quarterback Jameis Winston struggled, throwing for 122 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions on 52.0% passing accuracy. Despite the challenges, running back Alvin Kamara showcased versatility, taking nine carries for 42 yards and contributing significantly in the passing game with seven receptions for 33 yards. Wide receiver Chris Olave emerged as a bright spot, recording six receptions for 94 yards and a touchdown.

The Saints’ betting performance has been modest, with only two wins against the spread in 10 games this season. When favored by 1 point or more, they have covered the spread once in nine chances. Additionally, the Saints’ games have trended towards the over in 30% of their contests, hitting that mark three times in 10 games with a set point total.

Key leaders for the Saints include quarterback Derek Carr, who has amassed 2,231 passing yards with a 65.9% completion rate and 10 touchdowns. Kamara remains a dual-threat with 388 rushing yards, 305 receiving yards, and a total of three touchdowns. The defensive unit, led by Carl Granderson, Demario Davis, and Paulson Adebo, has shown strength with notable performances in tackles, tackles for loss, sacks, interceptions, and passes defended.

For the NFL odds, expect Derek Carr to orchestrate a dynamic offensive resurgence, while the Saint’s defense aims to make crucial stops against the Falcons.

Rise up resilience: Falcons look to soar over Saints’ defensive lines

On the other side, the Atlanta Falcons are coming off a narrow 25-23 loss to the Arizona Cardinals. Quarterback Taylor Heinicke recorded 55 passing yards with one touchdown and no interceptions while running back Bijan Robinson showcased a solid performance with 95 rushing yards and a touchdown. Wide receiver Drake London contributed with three catches for 36 yards.

The Falcons have had limited success in betting, covering the spread on two occasions this season. When considered underdogs by 1 point or more, they covered the spread once in three chances. The Falcons’ games have leaned towards the over, hitting that mark in 40% of their matchups with a set point total.

Key leaders for the Falcons include quarterback Desmond Ridder, who has thrown for 1,740 yards with a 65.4% completion rate and six touchdowns. Robinson has been a focal point in the rushing and receiving game, accumulating 612 rushing yards, 208 receiving yards, and a total of four touchdowns. Defensively, Jessie Bates III, Nathan Landman, Kaden Elliss, and Richie Grant have been instrumental in contributing tackles, tackles for loss, sacks, interceptions, and passes defended. 

For the NFL lines, Desmond Ridder’s precision and the dual-threat impact of Robinson could spell trouble for the Saints, as the Falcons strive to secure a hard-fought victory at home.