NFL Picks: Week 11 Buccaneers vs 49ers

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In the upcoming Week 11 NFL matchup, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are set to face the San Francisco 49ers at Levi’s Stadium. Tampa Bay is fresh from a solid victory against the Titans by a final score of 20 to 6. The 49ers spectacularly crushed the Jaguars with 34 points against 3.

BUSR NFL Lines

Spread: Buccaneers +11.5 (-111), 49ers -11.5 (-109) 

Moneyline: Buccaneers +450, 49ers -650 

Total: O 41.5 (-107), U 41.5 (-113) 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 

It’s a critical game for the Buccaneers who have seen more downs than ups recently, losing four of their last five games. They’ve had a mixed bag on the road, winning and losing in equal measure. Baker Mayfield’s performance has been decent, with a 64.6% completion rate, 2,143 passing yards, and a positive touchdown-to-interception ratio. His key targets, Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, have been productive, but the team’s running game, led by Rachaad White, has been underwhelming, with an average of 78.1 yards per game. The Buccaneers’ defense, on the other hand, has been relatively solid, conceding 19.2 points per game, with standouts like Lavonte David on tackles and Vita Vea on sacks. The Buccaneers have a history of stepping up their game in California, having won four of their last five as underdogs in the Golden State. This could be an interesting factor for bettors considering the historical performance in specific locations.

San Francisco 49ers

The 49ers, with an even split in their last six games, are looking to bolster their division-leading record. At home, they’ve been formidable, winning three of their last four. Brock Purdy’s impressive completion rate of 68.8% alongside 2,329 passing yards makes him a notable quarterback this season. Brandon Aiyuk and George Kittle have been dynamic receiving options, and Christian McCaffrey’s dual-threat capability has been a boon for the 49ers’ ground game, which averages 134.7 yards per game. The 49ers’ defense is stingy, allowing only 15.9 points per game, and players like Fred Warner and Nick Bosa are reasons why. The 49ers have an exceptional record at home against NFC opponents, both in wins and in covering the spread. This trend is essential for bettors to note as it demonstrates San Francisco’s ability to outperform expectations at Levi’s Stadium.

Prediction

The prediction is leaning towards a strong performance by the 49ers. Their defense is among the best, and with the Buccaneers struggling with their running game and offensive line issues, San Francisco is in a prime position to dominate. The 49ers, back on their home turf where they play best, are favored to not just win but to do so convincingly against the Buccaneers, who will need to be wary of turnovers against such a robust defense. Bettors might find confidence in backing the 49ers to continue their impressive streak at home and bet for them to cover the huge 11.5-point spread in BUSR’s NFL Odds.