NFL Picks: Week 11 Vikings vs Broncos

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NFL Sunday Night Football in Week 11 promises a thrilling encounter as the Minnesota Vikings, fresh from a victory over the Saints, take on the Denver Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High, who are coming off an upset win against Buffalo. 

BUSR NFL Lines

Spread: Vikings +2.5 (-110), Broncos -2.5 (-110). 

Moneyline: Vikings +110, Broncos -130 

Total: O 43.5 (-106), U 43.5 (-114) 

Minnesota Vikings 

The Vikings are riding the crest of a five-game winning streak and have shown formidable form on the road with four consecutive away victories. Joshua Dobbs, the Vikings’ quarterback, boasts a completion rate of 67.2 percent, with a solid touchdown record and no interceptions to his name so far. T.J. Hockenson and Jordan Addison are making waves with their combined receiving yards and touchdowns, while Justin Jefferson remains a key player with his receptions, albeit injured. Minnesota’s ground game may not be the most impressive, averaging 85.7 yards per game, but it’s balanced by their defense, which allows 20.9 points and 323.2 yards per game. Notably, while the Vikings have a strong track record as underdogs, they have struggled to cover the spread in the game following a home win.

Denver Broncos

For the Broncos, the mood is equally optimistic with a three-game winning streak despite some struggles at home. Russell Wilson has been a key player, with a 67.9 percent pass completion rate and impressive touchdown numbers. He has shown flashes of his old MVP self. The receiving duo of Courtland Sutton and Jerry Jeudy has been productive, and Javonte Williams has been leading the charge on the ground. The Bronco’s defense, despite allowing more points and yards per game than the Vikings, is bolstered by players like Alex Singleton and Justin Simmons. However, Denver has had a tough time in November when favored, both in outright wins and in covering the spread.

Prediction

This matchup pits two teams that have defied expectations and are now squarely in the playoff conversation. The Vikings, with their underdog narrative and Dobbs’ leadership, are a compelling pick, especially with their momentum. Conversely, the Broncos’ recent wins, particularly against the Chiefs and Bills, along with their home advantage, make them a formidable opponent with a hot hand on their side.

The prediction here hinges on the spread: the Broncos’ balanced team and home-field advantage could be the deciding factors with less than a field goal of spread difference. With both teams showing potential and playoff ambitions, bettors will have a tough decision for this must-watch NFL showdown, my money will be on the Broncos on BUSR’s NFL Odds.