NFL Picks: Week 4 Rams vs Colts

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In NFL action at Lucas Oil Stadium, the Los Angeles Rams are set to take on the Indianapolis Colts. The Rams are coming off a recent Monday night matchup against the Bengals, which they narrowly lost by three points. Meanwhile, the Colts are coming off an overtime win against the Ravens, improving their season record to 2-1.

BUSR NFL Lines

Spread: Rams +1 (-110), Colts -1 (-110) 

Moneyline: Rams -101, Colts -121 

Total: O 46.5 (-110), U 46.5 (-110)

Indianapolis Colts

The Colts started their season with a disappointing loss to the Jaguars, despite holding a fourth-quarter lead. They bounced back in their second game against the Texans, securing a convincing 31-20 victory. In their recent matchup with the Ravens, the Colts faced a fourth-quarter deficit but managed to force overtime and eventually win 22-19. Quarterback Gardner Minshew contributed 227 yards and one touchdown, while Zack Moss led the rushing attack with 122 yards on 30 carries. Michael Pittman added 77 receiving yards from nine catches.

Despite their recent win, the Colts have struggled at home, losing their last six games at Lucas Oil Stadium. Additionally, they have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games as favorites and have consistently fallen behind in the first half in similar situations. 

Los Angeles Rams 

The Rams had a mixed start to their 2023 season. They began with an impressive comeback win against the Seahawks, outscoring them 23-0 in the second half for a 30-13 victory. However, in their second game against the 49ers, the Rams couldn’t replicate their success and lost 30-23. Quarterback Matthew Stafford posted 307 yards, one touchdown, and one interception in that game.

In their recent Monday night matchup against the Bengals, the Rams were held to a 6-6 tie at halftime and eventually lost 19-16. Stafford had a challenging outing with just 102 passing yards and an interception. The rushing game also struggled, with Tutu Atwell leading with a mere 22-yard carry. The Rams have had difficulties on the road, losing eight of their last nine road games. They have also struggled to cover the spread as road underdogs against AFC opponents but have consistently won the first quarter against AFC South opponents.

Prediction

In this matchup, the Colts seem to have the edge. While their offensive performance against the Ravens wasn’t outstanding, their gritty win showcased their ability to control the game and make key defensive plays. On the other hand, the Rams struggled offensively in their recent outing, managing just 15 first downs and a poor third-down conversion rate. All this depends on Richardson being available for this game, he missed Week 3. 

The Rams’ defense has been solid, but a good defensive effort by the Colts combined with their home advantage could put them in a favorable position. While the Rams may bounce back, it’s likely that the Colts will come out on top in this game. The -1 spread for Indianapolis in BUSR NFL Odds seems reasonable, as well as taking the 46.5 over.