2022 Georgia
Gubernatorial Poll

Kemp vs Abrams

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GEORGIA GOVERNOR BRIAN KEMP LEADS POTENTIAL GOP CHALLENGERS IN 2022 REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

 

Las Vegas – (January 7, 2021) – The BUSR/UNLV Lee Business School poll of Georgia likely voters finds Brian Kemp leading potential challengers in a hypothetical Georgia Republican gubernatorial primary in 2022. Among Georgia likely voters affiliated with Republicans, Governor Kemp leads former Georgia Congressman Doug Collins by a 48%-29% margin, former Heisman Trophy Winner Herschel Walker by a 50%-25% margin, and Georgia Congresswoman Marjorie Greene by a 60%-14% margin. Kemp holds an approval/disapproval rating of 64%-26% among Georgia likely voters affiliated with the Republican Party.

President Donald Trump is the overwhelming favorite among Georgia likely voters affiliated with Republicans if he decides to run for President again in 2024. Trump is the preference of 73% of Georgia Republicans. Trump holds an approval/disapproval rating of 89/7 among Georgia likely voters affiliated with the Republican Party.

If President Trump opts against a run in 2024, Vice President Mike Pence would start as a decent favorite among Georgia Republicans. Pence is favored by 36% of Georgia likely voters affiliated with Republicans if Trump does not run in 2024.

Governor Kemp leads a hypothetical Georgia gubernatorial general election matchup with Stacey Abrams by a 44%-40% margin. Kemp’s overall approval/disapproval rating with Georgia likely voters is 42/43.

This general election poll of 550 Georgia likely voters was conducted on December 30, 2020 and on January 3, 2021. The Republican primary part of poll was conducted of 209 Georgia likely voters affiliated with Republicans on December 30, 2020 and on January 3, 2021. Qualtrics collected the data for this survey. The margin of error for the general election poll is +/- 4 percentage points. The margin of error for the Republican primary part of the poll is +/- 7 percentage points.  

BUSR paid for the costs of this poll. BUSR is a proud sponsor of student-conducted research at the UNLV Lee Business School.

This survey was weighted by age, gender, education, and 2020 vote choice for President Donald Trump.

 

2022 Georgia Republican Gubernatorial Primary

While Governor Kemp has been at odds with President Trump since the presidential election in November, Kemp remains in a relatively strong position to win a hypothetical Republican gubernatorial primary in 2022. He leads former Congressman Doug Collins, Herschel Walker, and Congresswoman Marjorie Greene in one-on-one matchups.

Senate Runoffs

While our poll shows both Senate races with effectively the same margin, there are slight differences. Georgia likely voters affiliated with Republicans are more unified in their support for Senator Loeffler than for Senator Perdue while Perdue performs better than Loeffler among Georgia likely voters unaffiliated with either party.

Brian Kemp 48%
Doug Collins 29%
Brian Kemp 50%
Herschel Walker 25%
Brian Kemp 60%
Marjorie Greene 14%

2024 Georgia Republican Presidential Primary

If President Trump decides to run for President again in 2024, he would start with a dominant lead among Georgia Republicans. The candidates tested for this poll were President Trump, former U.N. Ambassador and former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley, Florida Senator Marco Rubio, Texas Senator Ted Cruz, former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie and Utah Senator and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney.

Donald Trump 73%
Undecided 11%
Ted Cruz 5%
Marco Rubio 3%
Nikki Haley 3%
Someone else 2%
Mitt Romney 2%
Chris Christie 1%

If President Trump does not run, Vice President Mike Pence would be the early favorite among Georgia Republicans in 2024.

Mike Pence 36%
Undecided 24%
Ted Cruz 15%
Nikki Haley 8%
Someone else 7%
Mitt Romney 6%
Marco Rubio 3%
Chris Christie 1%

2022 Georgia Gubernatorial General Election

Governor Kemp would start with a small lead against his 2018 opponent Stacey Abrams. Other Republicans also run competitively with Abrams.

Brian Kemp 44%
Doug Collins 40%
Doug Collins 44%
Stacey Abrams 42%
Herschel Walker 43%
Stacey Abrams 41%
Marjorie Greene 42%
Stacey Abrams 42%

The poll was developed by Alexander Chan, a graduate student in the UNLV Lee Business School MBA program. Any additional questions about the poll should be sent to him at chana22@unlv.nevada.edu. The raw data for the poll is available upon request.

Crosstabs

Methodology Statement

The UNLV Institutional Review Board has approved this poll. UNLV’s MBA program is recognized for its inventive curriculum as well as voted the most diverse campus in the nation by the U.S. News World Report.

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- Updated March 7, 2021 12:00:21

2024 US Presidential Election
Fractional American
Alexandria Ocasio-cortez3/1+300
Joe BidenEVEV
Kamala Harris 7/2+350
Elizabeth Warren8/1+800
Bernie Sanders10/1+1000
Michelle Obama10/1+1000
Andrew Cuomo12/1+1200
Ted Cruz12/1+1200
Josh Hawley12/1+1200
Tom Cotton15/1+1500
Pete Buttigieg15/1+1500
Michael Bennet20/1+2000
Cory Booker20/1+2000
Ivanka Trump20/1+2000
Mike Bloomberg30/1+3000
Kanye West50/1+5000
Mark Cuban50/1+5000
Elon Musk75/1+7500