2022 Georgia
Gubernatorial Poll

Kemp vs Abrams

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GEORGIA GOVERNOR BRIAN KEMP LEADS POTENTIAL GOP CHALLENGERS IN 2022 REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

Las Vegas – (January 7, 2021) – The BUSR/UNLV Lee Business School poll of Georgia likely voters finds Brian Kemp leading potential challengers in a hypothetical Georgia Republican gubernatorial primary in 2022. Among Georgia likely voters affiliated with Republicans, Governor Kemp leads former Georgia Congressman Doug Collins by a 48%-29% margin, former Heisman Trophy Winner Herschel Walker by a 50%-25% margin, and Georgia Congresswoman Marjorie Greene by a 60%-14% margin. Kemp holds an approval/disapproval rating of 64%-26% among Georgia likely voters affiliated with the Republican Party.

President Donald Trump is the overwhelming favorite among Georgia likely voters affiliated with Republicans if he decides to run for President again in 2024. Trump is the preference of 73% of Georgia Republicans. Trump holds an approval/disapproval rating of 89/7 among Georgia likely voters affiliated with the Republican Party.

If President Trump opts against a run in 2024, Vice President Mike Pence would start as a decent favorite among Georgia Republicans. Pence is favored by 36% of Georgia likely voters affiliated with Republicans if Trump does not run in 2024.

Governor Kemp leads a hypothetical Georgia gubernatorial general election matchup with Stacey Abrams by a 44%-40% margin. Kemp’s overall approval/disapproval rating with Georgia likely voters is 42/43.

This general election poll of 550 Georgia likely voters was conducted on December 30, 2020 and on January 3, 2021. The Republican primary part of poll was conducted of 209 Georgia likely voters affiliated with Republicans on December 30, 2020 and on January 3, 2021. Qualtrics collected the data for this survey. The margin of error for the general election poll is +/- 4 percentage points. The margin of error for the Republican primary part of the poll is +/- 7 percentage points.

BUSR paid for the costs of this poll. BUSR is a proud sponsor of student-conducted research at the UNLV Lee Business School.

This survey was weighted by age, gender, education, and 2020 vote choice for President Donald Trump.

2022 Georgia Republican Gubernatorial Primary

While Governor Kemp has been at odds with President Trump since the presidential election in November, Kemp remains in a relatively strong position to win a hypothetical Republican gubernatorial primary in 2022. He leads former Congressman Doug Collins, Herschel Walker, and Congresswoman Marjorie Greene in one-on-one matchups.

Senate Runoffs

While our poll shows both Senate races with effectively the same margin, there are slight differences. Georgia likely voters affiliated with Republicans are more unified in their support for Senator Loeffler than for Senator Perdue while Perdue performs better than Loeffler among Georgia likely voters unaffiliated with either party.

Brian Kemp48%
Doug Collins29%
Brian Kemp50%
Herschel Walker25%
Brian Kemp60%
Marjorie Greene14%

2024 Georgia Republican Presidential Primary

If President Trump decides to run for President again in 2024, he would start with a dominant lead among Georgia Republicans. The candidates tested for this poll were President Trump, former U.N. Ambassador and former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley, Florida Senator Marco Rubio, Texas Senator Ted Cruz, former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie and Utah Senator and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney.

Donald Trump73%
Undecided11%
Ted Cruz5%
Marco Rubio3%
Nikki Haley3%
Someone else2%
Mitt Romney2%
Chris Christie1%

If President Trump does not run, Vice President Mike Pence would be the early favorite among Georgia Republicans in 2024.

Mike Pence36%
Undecided24%
Ted Cruz15%
Nikki Haley8%
Someone else7%
Mitt Romney6%
Marco Rubio3%
Chris Christie1%

2022 Georgia Gubernatorial General Election

Governor Kemp would start with a small lead against his 2018 opponent Stacey Abrams. Other Republicans also run competitively with Abrams.

Brian Kemp44%
Doug Collins40%
Doug Collins44%
Stacey Abrams42%
Herschel Walker43%
Stacey Abrams41%
Marjorie Greene42%
Stacey Abrams42%

The poll was developed by Alexander Chan, a graduate student in the UNLV Lee Business School MBA program. Any additional questions about the poll should be sent to him at chana22@unlv.nevada.edu. The raw data for the poll is available upon request.

Crosstabs

Methodology Statement

The UNLV Institutional Review Board has approved this poll. UNLV’s MBA program is recognized for its inventive curriculum as well as voted the most diverse campus in the nation by the U.S. News World Report.

BUSR is an award-winning, international gaming company with offices in the United Kingdom and the Americas.

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Updated September 23, 2021.

2024 US Presidential Election
FractionalAmerican
Joe Biden7/2+350
Kamala Harris4/1+400
Donald Trump7/1+700
Ron Desantis10/1+1000
Nikki Haley12/1+1200
Mike Pence16/1+1600
Alexandria Ocasio-cortez16/1+1600
Tucker Carlson25/1+2500
Ivanka Trump25/1+2500
Ted Cruz30/1+3000
Dwayne Johnson30/1+3000
Michelle Obama30/1+3000
Mike Pompeo40/1+4000
Pete Buttigieg40/1+4000
Cory Booker40/1+4000
Kristi Noem50/1+5000
Elizabeth Warren50/1+5000
Candace Owens50/1+5000
Josh Hawley50/1+5000
Tom Cotton50/1+5000
Marco Rubio50/1+5000
Dan Crenshaw50/1+5000
Stacey Abrams50/1+5000
Rand Paul50/1+5000
Amy Klobuchar50/1+5000
Donald Trump Jr50/1+5000
Tulsi Gabbard60/1+6000
Andrew Yang60/1+6000
Paul Ryan100/1+10000
Bernie Sanders100/1+10000
Hillary Clinton100/1+10000
Gavin Newsom100/1+10000
Kanye West100/1+10000
Mitt Romney100/1+10000

Will Donald Trump Be Elected US President In 2024
FractionalAmerican
Yes7/1+700
No1/13-1300