Monday Night Football Odds Week 6

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Monday Night Football Odds Week 6

​​Week 6’s Monday Night Football odds could be crucial for the season regarding the showdown between the Buffalo Bills and the New York Jets this Monday at MetLife Stadium.

There’s much on the line as both teams look to rebound from recent losses. This prediction will explore both teams’ current form and critical statistics to assess who has the edge in this pivotal NFL game. For those interested in NFL Futures, this game could be crucial in shaping the AFC East standings forward.

Buffalo Bills

The Buffalo Bills enter this game with a 3-2 record after a brutal 23-20 loss to the Houston Texans. In that contest, the Bills rallied from a 20-3 deficit to tie the game but allowed a field goal as time expired. 

Despite forcing two turnovers and only giving up the ball once, the Bills were outgained significantly, accumulating only 276 total yards to Houston’s 425. Josh Allen, who threw for just 131 yards and one touchdown, will need to bounce back if the Bills hope to win. Allen has thrown for 945 yards and eight touchdowns this season, with a completion rate of 60.3%.

The Bills’ offense has averaged 28.4 points per game this season, while their defense has allowed 21.2 points per game. Buffalo has leaned heavily on its ground game, averaging 118.2 rushing yards per game. 

James Cook has been a reliable part of their offense, rushing for 309 yards and scoring four touchdowns through five games. He’s also been an asset in recent games, racking up 82 or more yards in the last four contests when Buffalo has been favored.

Khalil Shakir has consistently found the end zone, scoring in Buffalo’s last four games as favorites on the East Coast. 

Josh Allen has performed well in October matchups, particularly against AFC East opponents, throwing for 236+ yards in eight of the last nine games and multiple touchdowns in eight of those nine contests.

However, Buffalo has struggled as a road favorite against AFC East opponents, losing four of their last six matchups. This trend could favor the Jets, especially given that Buffalo has failed to cover the spread in each of their last five October games. 

Additionally, their games against AFC East opponents have typically gone under the total points line, as seen in five of the last six games against the Jets, where the under has hit.

New York Jets

The New York Jets, sitting at 2-3, also come off a tough 23-17 loss to the Minnesota Vikings, a game in which they nearly mounted a comeback before Aaron Rodgers threw a late interception. Rodgers has had a mixed season so far, throwing for 1,093 yards, seven touchdowns, and four interceptions. 

Despite their struggles, the Jets’ defense has been relatively solid, allowing just 17 points per game. On offense, they’ve struggled to move the ball effectively, averaging only 80.4 rushing yards per game and 206.2 passing yards per game.

Garrett Wilson remains a crucial target for Rodgers, catching 33 passes for 292 yards and two touchdowns this season. His reliability could play a pivotal role in this game, especially as the Jets seek to overcome recent challenges, including firing their head coach earlier in the week. 

The home team has won each of the last five matchups between the Bills and Jets, and New York has covered the spread in seven of their last eight Week 6 games.

Historically, the Jets have performed well at home in these situations, winning the first half in five of their last six Week 6 home games against AFC East opponents. 

They’ve also won the first quarter in five of those six games. Meanwhile, the total points line has gone under in seven of the last eight Jets games against the Bills following a New York loss, which suggests that this could be a lower-scoring affair.

Prediction

With both teams showing vulnerabilities, the Jets’ recent coaching change and home-field advantage could give them the edge. Combine that with Buffalo’s struggles in October and as road favorites, and it seems that the Jets could cover the spread in this matchup. The pick here is the New York Jets +2.5.